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The Projections Desk — Expected Points, Next 6 Gameweeks

Projections

2026/27 Season · Next 6 Gameweeks · Refreshed Twice Daily

The Projections Desk — Expected Points, Next 6 Gameweeks BETA

Who scores most over the next six gameweeks? A transparent xG-based forecast of expected points — unofficial, not a predictor.

Captaincy Picks · Gameweek 10

The five best armbands for 10

  1. 1 Hinshelwood BHA · MID · £5.9m 5.12 xP
  2. 2 Foden MCI · MID · £6.8m 4.42 xP
  3. 3 O'Reilly MCI · DEF · £6.2m 3.99 xP
  4. 4 Haaland MCI · FWD · £15.8m 3.43 xP
  5. 5 Pedro Porro TOT · DEF · £5.3m 3.35 xP
Position All GK DEF MID FWD
Sort xP Next GW xP Next 6 Price Ownership
Player Team Pos Price Own% xP next GW xP next 6
O'Reilly MCI DEF £6.2m 8.3% 3.99 21.61
Pedro Porro TOT DEF £5.3m 4.9% 3.35 20.64
White ARS DEF £5.4m 4.6% 3.31 18.16
Calafiori ARS DEF £5.9m 48.1% 3.21 17.60
Mosquera ARS DEF £5.1m 1.2% 2.59 14.21
Van Hecke TOT DEF £5.0m 11.9% 2.47 15.23
Collins BRE DEF £5.4m 0.8% 2.38 14.91
N.Williams NFO DEF £4.9m 5.6% 2.28 14.26
Sessegnon FUL DEF £4.3m 0.2% 2.27 13.28
Udogie TOT DEF £4.4m 0.3% 2.26 13.91
Robertson TOT DEF £4.3m 2.5% 2.25 13.86
Van de Ven TOT DEF £5.0m 3.9% 2.16 13.33
Murillo NFO DEF £5.5m 2.0% 2.09 13.10
Konsa ARS DEF £4.8m 23.3% 2.00 10.95
Meunier SUN DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.86 11.80
Gusto CHE DEF £4.8m 0.7% 1.72 10.20
Milenković NFO DEF £5.4m 0.8% 1.70 10.65
Jair Cunha NFO DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.57 9.83
Jacquet LIV DEF £5.1m 4.5% 1.56 8.80
Khalaili CRY DEF £5.0m 0.2% 1.50 9.78
Elvedi LEE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 1.48 8.66
Affengruber FUL DEF £4.5m 0.6% 1.46 8.54
Thomas COV DEF £4.0m 8.0% 1.46 9.00
Schuster BRE DEF £4.5m 0.4% 1.44 9.03
Robinson FUL DEF £4.4m 1.3% 1.41 8.24
Maatsen AVL DEF £4.4m 0.4% 1.38 8.72
Rodon LEE DEF £4.2m 0.4% 1.38 8.07
J.Timber ARS DEF £6.5m 0.9% 1.37 7.52
Branthwaite EVE DEF £5.5m 2.2% 1.35 7.40
Mukiele SUN DEF £5.4m 1.5% 1.31 8.30
Mendy HUL DEF £4.1m 4.6% 1.29 8.72
Matheus N. MCI DEF £5.9m 0.9% 1.28 6.93
Chavarria CHE DEF £4.9m 0.2% 1.27 7.53
Bogle LEE DEF £4.8m 11.2% 1.24 7.25
Gabriel ARS DEF £8.0m 24.9% 1.23 6.75
Gudmundsson LEE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 1.21 7.08
De Cuyper BHA DEF £5.4m 45.5% 1.20 7.28
Mykolenko EVE DEF £4.6m 2.4% 1.20 6.57
Wieffer BHA DEF £4.8m 0.1% 1.17 7.13
Tete FUL DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.14 6.67
Van den Berg BRE DEF £4.9m 0.1% 1.14 7.14
Maitland-Niles EVE DEF £4.5m 1.3% 1.10 6.04
Burn NEW DEF £4.8m 0.7% 1.09 6.54
Ajayi HUL DEF £4.2m 12.3% 1.08 7.34
Heaven MUN DEF £4.3m 0.2% 1.07 6.49
Mazraoui MUN DEF £4.3m 0.4% 1.07 6.49
Muñoz NFO DEF £5.3m 4.4% 1.06 6.64
F.Kadıoğlu BHA DEF £4.4m 1.4% 1.05 6.37
Gvardiol MCI DEF £5.7m 25.7% 1.05 5.70
van Ewijk COV DEF £3.9m 7.0% 1.04 6.40
Fofana CHE DEF £5.0m 0.2% 1.02 6.05
Danso SUN DEF £5.0m 0.1% 1.01 6.42
Norton-Cuffy HUL DEF £3.9m 0.4% 1.01 6.88
Costinha BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.00 6.08
Silva BOU DEF £5.1m 2.9% 1.00 5.47
Castagne FUL DEF £4.5m 1.2% 0.98 5.74
Reinildo SUN DEF £4.4m 0.2% 0.97 6.14
Dedić NEW DEF £4.5m 1.2% 0.95 5.72
Dunk BHA DEF £4.5m 1.5% 0.92 5.59
Guéhi MCI DEF £6.0m 15.7% 0.91 4.91
Justin LEE DEF £4.5m 2.3% 0.87 5.09
Truffert BOU DEF £5.4m 3.3% 0.87 4.79
Rúben MCI DEF £5.5m 2.0% 0.85 4.62
Hill BOU DEF £5.6m 2.6% 0.83 4.56
Palestra CHE DEF £5.3m 0.5% 0.83 4.90
Smith BOU DEF £4.5m 0.2% 0.83 4.56
Coyle HUL DEF £4.0m 0.6% 0.82 5.56
Davis IPS DEF £4.0m 6.8% 0.79 4.80
Disasi CRY DEF £4.4m 0.1% 0.79 5.14
Araujo LIV DEF £5.4m 4.1% 0.76 4.27
Kayode BRE DEF £4.5m 6.7% 0.76 4.74
James CHE DEF £5.2m 3.3% 0.75 4.45
Khusanov MCI DEF £5.3m 1.2% 0.75 4.06
Mfuni COV DEF £4.0m 0.2% 0.74 4.56
Struijk BHA DEF £4.9m 0.1% 0.74 4.50
Lewis MCI DEF £4.3m 0.2% 0.73 3.94
Martinez MUN DEF £4.8m 1.0% 0.73 4.44
Vuskovic BHA DEF £5.2m 7.5% 0.73 4.44
Pau AVL DEF £4.4m 0.3% 0.72 4.56
Andersen FUL DEF £5.0m 0.2% 0.71 4.15
Shaw MUN DEF £4.2m 3.6% 0.71 4.33
O'Nien SUN DEF £3.9m 2.4% 0.70 4.44
Virgil LIV DEF £6.4m 15.0% 0.67 3.77
Aina NFO DEF £4.2m 1.4% 0.65 4.06
Chilwell CRY DEF £4.4m 0.3% 0.65 4.26
Dasilva COV DEF £4.0m 1.5% 0.65 4.02
Kerkez LIV DEF £5.3m 1.9% 0.65 3.65
Muharemović LEE DEF £5.1m 6.1% 0.65 3.80
O'Brien EVE DEF £4.8m 0.3% 0.65 3.55
Schär NEW DEF £4.9m 0.2% 0.63 3.78
Boscagli BHA DEF £4.5m 0.6% 0.61 3.71
Hall NEW DEF £5.3m 19.5% 0.58 3.46
Hato CHE DEF £4.5m 0.6% 0.56 3.34
Lacroix CHE DEF £5.9m 5.0% 0.56 3.30
Diomande NFO DEF £5.3m 0.5% 0.54 3.38
Mings AVL DEF £4.5m 0.4% 0.54 3.40
Bassey FUL DEF £4.5m 1.3% 0.52 3.04
Dalot MUN DEF £4.8m 1.3% 0.52 3.16
Maguire MUN DEF £4.6m 5.4% 0.52 3.16
Tsimikas LIV DEF £4.9m 0.1% 0.52 2.92
Colwill CHE DEF £4.8m 0.9% 0.51 3.02
Ajer BRE DEF £4.5m 4.1% 0.50 3.12
Frimpong LIV DEF £5.2m 1.2% 0.49 2.75
Tarkowski EVE DEF £6.2m 19.1% 0.48 2.64
Acheampong CHE DEF £4.5m 0.5% 0.47 2.79
Amenda COV DEF £3.9m 0.4% 0.46 2.84
Bijol LEE DEF £5.0m 0.6% 0.46 2.67
Lindelöf AVL DEF £4.5m 0.6% 0.46 2.88
Ouattara IPS DEF £4.0m 1.1% 0.46 2.80
Cash AVL DEF £4.3m 3.9% 0.45 2.82
Hume SUN DEF £4.2m 1.8% 0.45 2.86
Mitchell CRY DEF £4.5m 4.9% 0.45 2.90
Ballard SUN DEF £4.7m 1.0% 0.44 2.80
Wan-Bissaka AVL DEF £4.5m 0.2% 0.43 2.74
Hickey BRE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.42 2.64
Yoro MUN DEF £4.8m 0.5% 0.42 2.57
Botman NEW DEF £5.0m 0.7% 0.41 2.48
Egan HUL DEF £4.1m 6.9% 0.40 2.70
Giles HUL DEF £4.0m 2.6% 0.40 2.71
Hincapie ARS DEF £5.2m 0.7% 0.40 2.19
Ruggeri AVL DEF £4.4m 0.1% 0.40 2.52
O'Shea IPS DEF £4.0m 2.8% 0.39 2.37
Pinnock COV DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.38 2.34
Diouf BRE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.36 2.25
Tosin TOT DEF £4.3m 0.1% 0.36 2.22
Herrington HUL DEF £4.0m 0.5% 0.33 2.25
Thiaw NEW DEF £4.9m 1.5% 0.32 1.94
Diop IPS DEF £3.9m 10.1% 0.30 1.83
Greaves IPS DEF £3.9m 1.0% 0.26 1.58
Senesi TOT DEF £5.7m 3.0% 0.26 1.60
Alderete SUN DEF £4.8m 0.2% 0.25 1.58
Hadjam BHA DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.25 1.52
Ahanor CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.24 1.56
Tomiyasu CRY DEF £4.3m 0.2% 0.24 1.56
Canvot CRY DEF £4.8m 0.2% 0.23 1.48
Methalie SUN DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.23 1.46
Richards CRY DEF £4.9m 0.5% 0.23 1.50
Drameh HUL DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.20 1.33
Keane EVE DEF £4.7m 0.6% 0.20 1.10
Livramento NEW DEF £4.8m 0.0% 0.19 1.16
Chadi Riad CRY DEF £4.3m 0.0% 0.18 1.18
Netz NFO DEF £4.4m 0.0% 0.18 1.14
J.Cuenca FUL DEF £4.4m 0.0% 0.12 0.70
Sanchez BOU DEF £4.4m 0.2% 0.12 0.66
Davies TOT DEF £3.9m 1.0% 0.11 0.68
Soler BOU DEF £4.0m 0.2% 0.09 0.49
Gomez LIV DEF £4.9m 0.0% 0.08 0.43
Mingueza CRY DEF £4.3m 0.0% 0.07 0.48
Bard LEE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.04 0.21
McNair HUL DEF £3.9m 0.1% 0.02 0.12
Braithwaite MCI DEF £3.9m 0.2% 0.01 0.06
Henry BRE DEF £4.4m 0.1% 0.01 0.06
Kesler-Hayden COV DEF £3.9m 0.1% 0.01 0.06
Targett HUL DEF £3.9m 1.2% 0.01 0.06
Vitor Reis MCI DEF £4.4m 0.0% 0.01 0.06
A.García AVL DEF £4.0m 1.1% 0.00 0.00
A.Murphy NEW DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Abbott NFO DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Alleyne MCI DEF £5.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Amass MUN DEF £4.0m 0.2% 0.00 0.00
Anselmino CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Aznou EVE DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Aït-Nouri MCI DEF £5.2m 0.3% 0.00 0.00
B.Badiashile CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Bidwell COV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Bindon NFO DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Bornauw LEE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Bradley LIV DEF £4.9m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Brau COV DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Byfield TOT DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Cardines CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Chalobah CHE DEF £5.5m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Coppola BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
De Fougerolles FUL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
De Ligt MUN DEF £4.9m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Diakité BOU DEF £4.9m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Digne AVL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Fredrick BRE DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Fredricson MUN DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Furlong IPS DEF £3.9m 0.5% 0.00 0.00
Harwood-Bellis AVL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Hjelde SUN DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Hughes HUL DEF £3.9m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Igor BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
J.Araujo BOU DEF £4.4m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Jacob HUL DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Ji-soo BRE DEF £4.4m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Johnson IPS DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Kipré IPS DEF £3.9m 0.8% 0.00 0.00
Kitching COV DEF £4.0m 0.3% 0.00 0.00
Latibeaudiere COV DEF £3.9m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Leoni LIV DEF £3.9m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Lienou LEE DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Lucky LIV DEF £3.9m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
M.Sarr CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Masuaku SUN DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
McCarthy HUL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Milosavljević BOU DEF £4.9m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Morato NFO DEF £5.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Nedeljkovic AVL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
O.Richards NFO DEF £3.9m 0.2% 0.00 0.00
Patterson EVE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Phillips TOT DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Pivas NEW DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Ramsay LIV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Romero TOT DEF £5.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Rowe AVL DEF £4.0m 0.2% 0.00 0.00
Rowswell TOT DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Saliba ARS DEF £5.9m 0.2% 0.00 0.00
Savona NFO DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Seelt SUN DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Shahar NEW DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Sosa CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Souza TOT DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Spence TOT DEF £4.5m 0.2% 0.00 0.00
Subuloye CHE DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.00 0.00
Svoboda BHA DEF £5.0m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Woolfenden COV DEF £3.9m 0.1% 0.00 0.00
Methodology

v1 model: xGI per 90 × position points scale × minutes risk × opponent difficulty (official FDR). A transparent regression — the official FPL projections are the benchmark. Data: FPL API + FPL Core Insights, refreshed twice daily.

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