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The Projections Desk — Expected Points, Next 6 Gameweeks

Projections

2026/27 Season · Next 6 Gameweeks · Refreshed Twice Daily

The Projections Desk — Expected Points, Next 6 Gameweeks BETA

Who scores most over the next six gameweeks? A transparent xG-based forecast of expected points — unofficial, not a predictor.

Captaincy Picks · Gameweek 6

The five best armbands for 6

  1. 1 Carvalho BRE · MID · £5.0m 48.07 xP
  2. 2 Mundle SUN · MID · £4.9m 29.74 xP
  3. 3 Doku MCI · MID · £7.4m 12.30 xP
  4. 4 Gelhardt HUL · MID · £5.0m 6.28 xP
  5. 5 Sessegnon FUL · DEF · £4.3m 5.61 xP
Position All GK DEF MID FWD
Sort xP Next GW xP Next 6 Price Ownership
Player Team Pos Price Own% xP next GW xP next 6
Sessegnon FUL DEF £4.3m 0.3% 5.61 31.62
O'Reilly MCI DEF £6.3m 11.1% 4.32 28.54
White ARS DEF £5.5m 5.1% 3.42 19.23
Alderete SUN DEF £4.8m 0.2% 2.85 16.03
Mosquera ARS DEF £5.3m 1.7% 2.78 15.63
Pedro Porro TOT DEF £5.4m 7.8% 2.64 17.22
Livramento NEW DEF £4.9m 0.1% 2.54 14.11
Anselmino CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 2.52 15.12
Palestra CHE DEF £5.3m 0.6% 2.52 15.12
Gomez LIV DEF £4.9m 0.0% 2.32 14.72
Soler BOU DEF £4.0m 0.3% 2.32 15.32
Norton-Cuffy HUL DEF £4.0m 0.2% 2.28 13.70
Meunier SUN DEF £4.5m 0.3% 2.13 11.98
Murillo NFO DEF £5.5m 2.1% 2.12 12.55
Mukiele SUN DEF £5.4m 1.9% 2.09 11.76
Udogie TOT DEF £4.4m 0.3% 2.07 13.50
Van de Ven TOT DEF £5.0m 3.8% 1.97 12.84
Chilwell CRY DEF £4.5m 0.4% 1.96 11.93
Shaw MUN DEF £4.3m 7.8% 1.88 10.98
James CHE DEF £5.4m 6.0% 1.69 10.13
Costinha BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.65 9.65
Ajayi HUL DEF £4.2m 14.1% 1.61 9.68
Struijk BHA DEF £4.9m 0.2% 1.55 9.06
Reinildo SUN DEF £4.4m 0.3% 1.53 8.61
Mendy HUL DEF £4.1m 6.3% 1.44 8.64
Calafiori ARS DEF £5.8m 50.6% 1.41 7.95
Jair Cunha NFO DEF £4.5m 0.2% 1.39 8.23
Bogle LEE DEF £4.6m 6.7% 1.34 8.98
De Cuyper BHA DEF £4.9m 27.0% 1.29 7.55
Martinez MUN DEF £5.0m 1.3% 1.29 7.54
Davis IPS DEF £4.0m 6.9% 1.26 7.02
Muñoz NFO DEF £5.4m 5.8% 1.26 7.46
Lewis MCI DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.22 8.05
A.Murphy NEW DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.72
Aznou EVE DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.64
Bidwell COV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.99
Brau COV DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.21 6.99
Burn NEW DEF £4.8m 0.7% 1.21 6.72
De Fougerolles FUL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.82
Hjelde SUN DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.21 6.81
Johnson IPS DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.73
Keane EVE DEF £4.8m 0.7% 1.21 6.64
Kesler-Hayden COV DEF £3.9m 0.0% 1.21 6.99
Kipré IPS DEF £3.9m 0.9% 1.21 6.73
Kitching COV DEF £4.0m 0.3% 1.21 6.99
Masuaku SUN DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.81
Patterson EVE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.21 6.64
Pivas NEW DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.21 6.72
Saliba ARS DEF £5.9m 0.2% 1.21 6.81
Seelt SUN DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.21 6.81
Shahar NEW DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.21 6.72
Woolfenden COV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.21 6.99
Netz NFO DEF £4.4m 0.0% 1.19 7.06
Kayode BRE DEF £4.6m 7.7% 1.15 7.40
Jacquet LIV DEF £5.0m 3.4% 1.14 7.24
A.García AVL DEF £4.0m 1.5% 1.12 6.72
Abbott NFO DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.12 6.63
Amass MUN DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.12 6.54
B.Badiashile CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.72
Bindon NFO DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.12 6.63
Cardines CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.81
Chalobah CHE DEF £5.5m 0.1% 1.12 6.72
Coppola BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.55
De Ligt MUN DEF £5.0m 0.0% 1.12 6.54
Digne AVL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.72
Fredricson MUN DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.12 6.54
Hadjam BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.55
Harwood-Bellis AVL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.72
Hughes HUL DEF £3.9m 0.2% 1.12 6.73
Igor BHA DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.55
Jacob HUL DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.12 6.73
M.Sarr CHE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.72
McCarthy HUL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.12 6.73
Morato NFO DEF £5.0m 0.0% 1.12 6.63
Nedeljkovic AVL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.12 6.72
O.Richards NFO DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.12 6.63
Rowe AVL DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.12 6.72
Savona NFO DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.63
Sosa CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.12 6.81
Gudmundsson LEE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 1.11 7.46
Gabriel ARS DEF £8.0m 22.8% 1.10 6.20
Collins BRE DEF £5.4m 1.0% 1.06 6.81
N.Williams NFO DEF £5.0m 8.9% 1.06 6.26
Alleyne MCI DEF £5.0m 0.0% 1.03 6.81
Aït-Nouri MCI DEF £5.3m 0.4% 1.03 6.81
Bradley LIV DEF £5.0m 0.0% 1.03 6.54
Braithwaite MCI DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.03 6.81
Byfield TOT DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.03 6.72
Davies TOT DEF £3.9m 0.9% 1.03 6.72
Diakité BOU DEF £4.9m 0.2% 1.03 6.81
Fredrick BRE DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.03 6.63
Henry BRE DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.03 6.63
J.Araujo BOU DEF £4.4m 0.0% 1.03 6.81
Ji-soo BRE DEF £4.4m 0.0% 1.03 6.63
Leoni LIV DEF £4.0m 0.0% 1.03 6.54
Lucky LIV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.03 6.54
Milosavljević BOU DEF £4.9m 0.0% 1.03 6.81
Phillips TOT DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.03 6.72
Ramsay LIV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.03 6.54
Romero TOT DEF £5.0m 0.1% 1.03 6.72
Rowswell TOT DEF £4.0m 0.1% 1.03 6.72
Sanchez BOU DEF £4.4m 0.2% 1.03 6.81
Souza TOT DEF £4.0m 0.2% 1.03 6.72
Spence TOT DEF £4.5m 0.2% 1.03 6.72
Van den Berg BRE DEF £4.9m 0.1% 1.03 6.63
Vitor Reis MCI DEF £4.5m 0.0% 1.03 6.81
Targett HUL DEF £4.0m 1.7% 1.02 6.13
van Ewijk COV DEF £4.0m 9.0% 1.02 5.91
Maitland-Niles EVE DEF £4.5m 1.2% 1.00 5.50
Coyle HUL DEF £4.0m 0.7% 0.97 5.81
Castagne FUL DEF £4.5m 0.9% 0.96 5.40
Bornauw LEE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.95 6.37
Lienou LEE DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.95 6.37
Diomande NFO DEF £5.4m 0.5% 0.94 5.55
Tsimikas LIV DEF £4.9m 0.1% 0.94 5.97
Heaven MUN DEF £4.4m 0.3% 0.93 5.44
Aina NFO DEF £4.4m 2.4% 0.91 5.39
Khalaili CRY DEF £5.0m 0.3% 0.90 5.47
Cash AVL DEF £4.4m 4.9% 0.89 5.34
Guéhi MCI DEF £6.0m 18.4% 0.89 5.90
Tosin TOT DEF £4.4m 0.1% 0.86 5.60
Silva BOU DEF £5.0m 0.4% 0.83 5.50
F.Kadıoğlu BHA DEF £4.4m 1.6% 0.81 4.74
Dasilva COV DEF £4.0m 0.7% 0.80 4.62
Fofana CHE DEF £5.0m 0.2% 0.80 4.81
Mazraoui MUN DEF £4.4m 0.5% 0.80 4.68
Schuster BRE DEF £4.5m 0.2% 0.80 5.15
Hall NEW DEF £5.3m 16.6% 0.78 4.32
Hincapie ARS DEF £5.2m 0.9% 0.78 4.42
Mitchell CRY DEF £4.5m 6.0% 0.77 4.68
Rúben MCI DEF £5.5m 1.9% 0.77 5.08
Andersen FUL DEF £5.0m 0.1% 0.76 4.29
Rodon LEE DEF £4.3m 0.8% 0.76 5.10
J.Timber ARS DEF £6.5m 0.4% 0.75 4.21
Konsa ARS DEF £4.6m 19.4% 0.75 4.24
Van Hecke TOT DEF £4.9m 6.6% 0.75 4.92
Dalot MUN DEF £4.9m 1.6% 0.74 4.32
Gvardiol MCI DEF £5.7m 26.5% 0.73 4.84
Maatsen AVL DEF £4.5m 0.5% 0.72 4.30
Thomas COV DEF £4.0m 8.6% 0.71 4.08
Maguire MUN DEF £4.9m 8.8% 0.70 4.08
Hill BOU DEF £5.5m 0.8% 0.69 4.56
Hume SUN DEF £4.3m 2.9% 0.69 3.86
Araujo LIV DEF £5.4m 3.0% 0.66 4.17
Elvedi LEE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.66 4.42
Gusto CHE DEF £4.9m 1.0% 0.66 3.95
Milenković NFO DEF £5.4m 1.0% 0.65 3.85
Drameh HUL DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.64 3.84
Khusanov MCI DEF £5.4m 1.4% 0.64 4.22
Justin LEE DEF £4.5m 1.5% 0.60 4.00
Matheus N. MCI DEF £5.9m 1.0% 0.60 3.95
Mfuni COV DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.60 3.45
Tomiyasu CRY DEF £4.4m 0.3% 0.59 3.57
Wieffer BHA DEF £4.9m 0.2% 0.59 3.44
Muharemović LEE DEF £5.0m 4.3% 0.58 3.88
Virgil LIV DEF £6.5m 16.2% 0.58 3.68
Giles HUL DEF £4.0m 2.9% 0.56 3.35
Tarkowski EVE DEF £6.1m 15.6% 0.55 3.02
Boscagli BHA DEF £4.5m 0.3% 0.54 3.17
Robertson TOT DEF £4.4m 2.6% 0.54 3.54
Mykolenko EVE DEF £4.6m 4.2% 0.53 2.90
Truffert BOU DEF £5.4m 3.0% 0.53 3.49
Ajer BRE DEF £4.5m 3.9% 0.52 3.33
Ballard SUN DEF £4.9m 2.6% 0.52 2.92
Lindelöf AVL DEF £4.5m 0.3% 0.52 3.12
Mings AVL DEF £4.5m 0.4% 0.52 3.12
Robinson FUL DEF £4.5m 1.4% 0.52 2.93
Amenda COV DEF £4.0m 0.6% 0.50 2.88
Branthwaite EVE DEF £5.5m 2.4% 0.50 2.74
Vuskovic BHA DEF £5.0m 3.5% 0.50 2.93
Chadi Riad CRY DEF £4.3m 0.0% 0.49 2.98
Frimpong LIV DEF £5.3m 1.8% 0.47 2.98
Kerkez LIV DEF £5.4m 2.3% 0.47 3.01
Hato CHE DEF £4.5m 0.8% 0.45 2.71
Methalie SUN DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.45 2.52
Tete FUL DEF £4.4m 0.2% 0.44 2.49
Affengruber FUL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.43 2.43
Danso SUN DEF £5.0m 0.2% 0.43 2.43
O'Shea IPS DEF £4.0m 2.7% 0.43 2.40
Lacroix CHE DEF £5.9m 6.8% 0.42 2.53
Herrington HUL DEF £4.0m 0.6% 0.41 2.46
Smith BOU DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.41 2.70
Bassey FUL DEF £4.5m 0.7% 0.40 2.25
Ruggeri AVL DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.40 2.40
Diouf BRE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.39 2.49
Chavarria CHE DEF £4.9m 0.1% 0.38 2.28
Diop IPS DEF £4.0m 12.9% 0.38 2.11
Egan HUL DEF £4.1m 7.1% 0.38 2.28
Botman NEW DEF £5.0m 0.7% 0.37 2.05
Dedić NEW DEF £4.5m 1.9% 0.37 2.04
Greaves IPS DEF £4.0m 1.1% 0.36 2.03
Hickey BRE DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.36 2.31
Bijol LEE DEF £5.0m 0.7% 0.35 2.37
Dunk BHA DEF £4.5m 1.5% 0.34 1.99
Ahanor CRY DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.32 1.95
Canvot CRY DEF £4.8m 0.2% 0.32 1.93
Thiaw NEW DEF £5.0m 2.2% 0.32 1.80
Wan-Bissaka AVL DEF £4.5m 0.2% 0.32 1.90
Pinnock COV DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.31 1.77
Richards CRY DEF £5.0m 0.6% 0.31 1.87
Bard LEE DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.30 2.04
Colwill CHE DEF £4.8m 0.9% 0.30 1.79
Latibeaudiere COV DEF £4.0m 0.0% 0.29 1.65
Ouattara IPS DEF £4.0m 0.9% 0.27 1.50
Acheampong CHE DEF £4.5m 0.3% 0.26 1.56
J.Cuenca FUL DEF £4.5m 0.0% 0.26 1.46
Mingueza CRY DEF £4.4m 0.1% 0.25 1.52
O'Nien SUN DEF £3.9m 2.5% 0.22 1.24
Schär NEW DEF £4.9m 0.2% 0.22 1.21
Disasi CRY DEF £4.5m 0.1% 0.21 1.28
Yoro MUN DEF £4.8m 0.5% 0.19 1.12
O'Brien EVE DEF £4.8m 0.3% 0.16 0.89
Pau AVL DEF £4.5m 0.3% 0.16 0.96
McNair HUL DEF £4.0m 0.1% 0.13 0.78
Senesi TOT DEF £5.8m 3.6% 0.07 0.46
Svoboda BHA DEF £5.0m 0.1% 0.07 0.40
Furlong IPS DEF £3.9m 0.6% 0.02 0.11
Methodology

v1 model: xGI per 90 × position points scale × minutes risk × opponent difficulty (official FDR). A transparent regression — the official FPL projections are the benchmark. Data: FPL API + FPL Core Insights, refreshed twice daily.

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